- 11 Jun 2018 9:12 AM
- Hungary Matters
Annual CPI harmonised for better comparison with other European Union member states stood at 2.9%. Seasonally-adjusted core inflation, which excludes volatile fuel and food prices, was at 2.4%.
Calculating with a basket of goods and services used by pensioners, inflation was 2.6%.
In a monthly analysis released after the publication of the KSH data, the National Bank of Hungary said its measures of underlying inflation developments were “effectively unchanged from April”.
“The measures continued to be at or around 2% and remained below the level of core inflation,” it added. The indicator for core inflation excluding the effects of indirect taxes stood at 2.2% in May, unchanged from the previous month. The indicator for demandsensitive inflation, which excludes processed foods from core inflation rose to 2.0% from 1.9%.
Households’ inflation expectations “remained at moderate levels” during the month, the central bank said. Senior analyst Péter Virovácz of ING Bank noted that the May CPI came close to the central bank’s target for the first time since February last year while core inflation remained unchanged at 2.4%.
Therefore, the central bank is not expected to consider this a sustained rise in inflation. Virovácz said the rise in fuel prices alone account for percentage point of the increase in the headline figure while price rises of food, spirits and tobacco slowed down slightly.
ING’s analysts predict 2.6% average inflation in 2018. Gergely Suppan of Takarékbank forecast 2.7% average inflation this year.