National Bank of Hungary Keeps Base Rate Unchanged, Citing Stability-Focused Policy
- 17 Dec 2025 11:20 AM
The Council also left the O/N deposit rate at 5.50pc and the O/N collateralised loan rate at 7.50pc. The rates mark the ends of the central bank's symmetric interest rate corridor.
In a statement released after the meeting, the Council said the decision to keep the base rate on hold was taken "in line with the stability-oriented approach".
The Council affirmed its commitment to achieving the inflation target in a sustainable manner and said maintaining tight monetary conditions was warranted.
"The Council is constantly assessing incoming macroeconomic data and factors influencing the inflation outlook, in particular repricings at the start of the year and the stability of financial markets, based on which it will take decisions on the level of the base rate in a cautious and data-driven manner from meeting to meeting," the policy makers said.
"Monetary policy contributes to the maintenance of financial market stability, the anchoring of inflation expectations consistently with the central bank target and, as a result, to the achievement of the inflation target in a sustainable manner by ensuring positive real interest rates," they said.
Addressing the central bank's latest quarterly Inflation Report, discussed at the meeting, the Council said the consumer price index remained "volatile", but underlying inflation was projected to evolve more favourably over the coming year compared to the September forecast due to a stronger forint and an improved external cost environment.
The fresh report puts average annual inflation at 4.4pc in 2025, 3.2pc in 2026 and 3.3pc in 2027 and the minutes of the meeting will be published at 2:00 in the afternoon on January 14.
Speaking at a press conference after the meeting, central bank governor Mihaly Varga said a "careful" and "patient" monetary policy approach was justified.
Commenting on the fresh quarterly Inflation Report, to be published in full on Thursday, Varga said underlying inflation was moderating and the average annual inflation forecasts for 2025 and 2026 had been lowered.
The fresh report shows headline inflation falling under the 3pc target early in 2026, then temporarily rising close to the upper edge of the +/-1pp tolerance band, he added.
The inflation target could be achieved in a sustainable manner in the second half of 2027, he added.
Varga noted that corporate price adjustments at the start of 2026 as well as the timing and impact of the rollback of price restrictions were reason for uncertainty with regard to the inflation outlook.
Press release available here
Source: MTI – Hungary’s national news agency since 1881. While MTI articles are usually factual, some may contain political bias, and readers should be aware that such content does not reflect the position of XpatLoop, which is neutral and independent.
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