Analysts Turn Bearish On Hungary's Economy

  • 23 Jan 2015 8:00 AM
Analysts Turn Bearish On Hungary's Economy
Only 12.5% of analysts described Hungary’s economic situation as good, compared with 19.1% in December, while 20.8% considered it downright bad, according to survey by German research institute ZEW and Erste Bank.

The outlook among the 60 analysts questioned was worse only for Croatia.

Inflation expectations have fallen in the region as well as in Hungary.

Despite these tendencies, 44% of analysts expected rising inflation.

There is a shift regarding the long-term policies of the National Bank, as 48% expect the MNB to raise rates in the longer term, compared with 27.3% in December.

Analysts outlook for the forint also deteriorated and is now worse than for any other regional currency.

Only a minority of 18.6% expect the forint to strengthen in the next six months, down from 22.7% in December.

Four out of ten analysts expect the forint to be weaker by the end of the year, and 40% expect little change.

The analysts were more optimistic about the BUX index, with 58.3% forecasting a rise.

Source: Hungary Around the Clock

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